Yearly Distance Record Attempt (Tommy Godwin - 75,065mi/120,000k)

energy and avg watts too

those are estimated from Strava and next to useless

You sure? How much sleep is he getting? How much does he 'need'?

It's something I'm trying to get to the bottom of from the data. What tends to happen is that there are a series of longer days and then it all falls apart and he has a short day that wipes out the gains made by the longer days. He has to probe to find out what works for him.

Here's a great graph from jo over at yacf: http://gicentre.org/oytt/images/steveMovementDay369.png

Before the moped incident he was tracking really nicely. Since then he's been wasting daylight hours.

On the aggressive end of his schedules I think Steve has vastly underestimated how much sleep he needs. The really thick end of the schedule calls for 18 hours riding time a day during the summer months. That doesn't leave much time left for admin, washing, eating and then sleeping whatever remains.

Anyway, the answer isn't going to come purely from a distance looking at graphs and data, but it's something that helps occupy my tiny brain.

those are estimated from Strava and next to useless

deffo worth including then!

Tuesday 5th Jan - 195.2 mi, 23:47:00 h, 13:17:18 h, 1,822 ft, 4,118 kJ, 86 W

Wednesday 6th Jan - 156.9 mi, 12:30:26 h, 10:16:37 h, 8,274 ft, 4,623 kJ, 125 W

new attempt cumulative - 28,914.4 mi, 99:09:26:45 d, 603,916 ft

Thursday 7th Jan - 200.0 mi, 14:54:03 h, 5,814 ft

new attempt cumulative - 29,114.4 mi, 100:00:20:48 d, 609,730 ft

New schedule for Steve for the remains of the attempt: http://www.oneyeartimetrial.org.uk/the-preparation

205mpd for the rest of Jan (needs to be 206.8mpd as he's slightly behind on the first 7 days of Jan which were supposed to be 190mpd)

Then...

February 2016 6,425.00 221.6
March 2016 6,990.00 225.5
April 2016 7,110.00 237.0
May 2016 7,195.00 232.1
June 2016 7,035.00 234.5
July 2016 7,024.00 226.6
August 2016 1,260.00 210.0
Total 77,149.50

Then again, Kurt is on 75650 with two days to go (I think - Mr Drem your spreadsheet is giving different totals for Kurt on the Comparison Days tab and the Comparison Dates tab), so that could be 76150 if he does 200 miles on each of the last two days. That would mean Steve has 1000 miles (4.5mpd) less to do than the plan, or means he can lose a few days to illness or bad weather.

he should carry on to the 100k

easy for me to say though

pops another bon-bon in gob

Right, changes to https://goo.gl/RBHtiS made.

1. I've pulled the accumulated miles from the dates comparison sheet,
   as I'm not sure what it was adding really.
   
2. I've added rolling average distances both as a sheet (5, 7, and 14 days) and a chart (5 days only again)
   
3. I've added Steve's latest plan to the other plans, complete with all of the maths updated to look after itself again.
   
   

Enjoy, and if you post a link to it, please try to use the shortened goo.gl version, as it allows me to track how popular it is (anyone can see this data at https://goo.gl/#analytics/goo.gl/RBHtiS/all_time )

Friday 8th Jan - 185.0 mi, 15:57:18 h, 4,008 ft

new attempt cumulative - 29,299.4 mi, 100:16:18:06 d, 613,738 ft

He's really going to need to pull a rabbit from his hat to meet those target miles. Nearly 240/day for two of the months looks a particularly high bar to reach, especially from recent mileage. Good luck to him.

Longer days tho.

Tommy's variation from winter to summer was far more extreme, from 150-odd in the winter to well over 300 in the summer.

Saturday 9th Jan - 196.8 mi, 16:18:02 h, 3,425 ft

new attempt cumulative - 29,496.2 mi, 101:08:36:08 d, 617,163 ft

So as I understand it, Kurt is finished. He pushed the record on by just over a thousand miles from Tommy Godwin setting a new mark at 76,076.

We'll done Kurt, an amazing achievement.

@hippy perhaps it warrants a change to the title of the thread?

UK init

Kurt's record distance hasn't yet been finalised, so it would be at least worth waiting until it has been.

FWIW, agree that the distance is likely to be 76,076 miles.

Sunday 10th Jan - 196.7 mi, 23:59:44 h, 2,974 ft

new attempt cumulative - 29,692.9 mi, 102:08:35:52 d, 620,137 ft

Tommy's variation from winter to summer was far more extreme, from 150-odd in the winter to well over 300 in the summer.

Was that over 300/day average? Wow!

He also did 361 miles in 18 hours at one point in the summer.

Lots of bollocks about Godwin being paced by a pro team (there weren't such things back then) or drafting lorries (limited to 20mph back then) for the summer.

The truth (according to Dave Barter who wrote The Year and researched it greatly) was that he was actively paced for the high mileage 5 months by his coach Charley Davey. This "active pacing" was being shouted at by Davey from a car, not drafting the car, just being shouted at.

On yacf Dave Barter (Citizenfish) writes about the theory he drafted lorries:-

"
His coach Charley Davey was a tough wizened record breaker who had taken the 24hr record and many other nails events. He would have taken no nonsense from Godwin and the record shows he harried him on during his five months of active pacing. Godwin's 348 day was witnessed by Cycling magazine, no mention of lorries, and clear indication in his splits that he rode fast then recovered, repeat.

Neat theory, little evidence that he used it during the Davey months. However, afterwards when the pacing was stopped I suspect he would have welcomed any lorry tows available.
"

On a rolling 5 day average, Tommy was at one point below 150 miles,and at another over 300.

Glad I added that sheet now ;-)

Right, The UMCA have added data to the 4th of Jan to their sheet, which means that Steve's original distance is now all ratified, but that not all of Kurt's is. Bruce is not showing anywhere on their data sets yet, and there's no announcement of his attempt on their news pages.

I've updated https://goo.gl/RBHtiS to take account of all of the newly confirmed data.

Monday 11th Jan - 188.7 mi, 15:12:30 h, 3,215 ft

new attempt cumulative - 29,881.6 mi, 102:23:48:22 d, 623,352 ft

From Facebook:

Tonight Steve hit a pothole, about 120-miles into his ride, which has damaged his rear wheel so badly he can't ride the bike any further.
Big thanks to Andrew (from the support team) for making the 200-mile return trip with a replacement bike, at such short notice.
This delay will be a big setback for Steve - against his new January mileage plan (and the record target in general) - but he plans to fight to get these lost miles back and still meet his January target...

Further update (bold bit my emphasis):-

Hit a pothole and my rear tyre went down.
I couldn't find the cause easily in the dark so instead of spending time investigating I fitted a new tyre with an innertube.
Had a bit of bother getting the wheel back in and when I did, the disk brake was rubbing a bit.
Decided to get going and call for help while I planned my next move.
A new wheel would also need a new chain because my transmission is shot after the recent wet weather. Plus I don't know why the rear brake is rubbing and don't want to spend time investigating in the cold and dark

Decided on taking a rest and having a meal.
Now going to go through the night and through to tomorrow night, hopefully for an early night.
I should mostly have a tailwind and the good main roads should be quiet.
Going to ride the A148 from Kings Lynn to Cromer, A149 to Yarmouth the A12 to Ipswich or Stowmarket for breakfast.
There should be hotels nearby on that route if I start to get sleepy.