The fall of the Tory party

Half the Tory seats are within 5 points, a summer of record boats, peoples mortgages still going up, nothings going to get better with the NHS and the cost of living. It's only going to get worse for them.

Had a little look at my local constituencies, Fareham, Gosport and the new one I'm now in Hamble Valley. Labour are within 7 points in Fareham & Gosport with the Lib dem / green votes in the region of 20points. Hamble looks up in the air with Labour on 22 and the Lib Dems on 25, Tory's on 35. a few more votes going to reform and some tactical voting and it could be interesting. These are as true blue tory as they get, all had 20k plus majorities last time.

It would be funny, personally to see Caroline Dinenage gone in Gosport, we're vaguely in the same circle of friends (thanks to the wife) and whilst she's not out and out evil, she's still a tory.

There’s also the four (five?) times delayed import checks on food and drink etc that they’re going to start doing- which should reduce choice and increase costs for food just in time for the summer.

This is going to be interesting, fresh vegetables are already a rarity in regular supermarkets.

It would be funny, personally to see Caroline Dinenage gone in Gosport, we're vaguely in the same circle of friends (thanks to the wife) and whilst she's not out and out evil, she's still a tory.

My question is....

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Woah. I'm absolutely flabbergasted that my constituency is predicted to go labour. Safest of safe seats, 55% Con vote in 2019. If anything i thought Lib Dems would run them closer this time, but no, big win for Labour.

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They'll push it again as a poison pill for the labour government

Suella being Suella again, bless her. She hates herself so much, that's the only explanation. She's completely unhinged, JFC.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2024/apr/04/sunak-border-security-echr-tories-rwanda-uk-politics-latest?CMP=share_btn_url&page=with%3Ablock-660e6a5a8f0871944b3892d5#block-660e6a5a8f0871944b3892d5

Yeah, I ride passed Fred's house in the south downs fairly often too.

In other news when I stand on the back steps of our house I can see the roof of Suella's constituency home (she never there, I think it's owned by her parents and is just a way of claiming maximum expenses)

Lets no forget it's not long since she was packed off to the board of deputies to apologies for being a massive antisemite.

Looks like they may go for the ECHR for the wedge issue this time. Not convinced it's really going to work though.

wedge issue

It will be with what's left of there blue wall voters and there more reform minded voters, so best of luck with that.

Her husband is Jewish, no?

He is, it didn't stop her from invoking the far right conspiracy theory around cultural marxism.

the last person I've come across who reference this was Anders Breivik.

Seems like we'll be stuck with the vile stench of the spluttering Tugboat in my constituency (Tugendhat). Thinking that so many of my neighbours could still vote for this shape shifting reptile (and his party) is enough to make me consider moving. Preferably abroad.
Might have to swallow my earnest principles and not vote Green in favour of Labour. I hate that our system makes you vote negatively for what you don't want rather than positively for want you actually want.

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Many in the cabinet and the parliamentary party as a whole are completely against leaving.

You assume she's smart enough to even know what it means

Yeah there is that, I’m sure she just read it on Breitbart or something and thought it sounded edgy.

It does mean I’ve been able to call her an anti-Semite the two times I’ve seen her in person at constituency meetings. It’s got a rise out of her and her entourage on both occasions.

It's grim isn't it. Hopefully all the progressive voters can get behind a single candidate.
Lab, lib and green would get it over the line even if reform fucked off again (which I don't believe they can do if they want to be involved in politics in any manner)

Tugendhat

he does come across as a career politician in a way that he wont feel like sitting in opposition for 5 years is a waste of time ..

I’ve yet to meet a Tory in TN10, all three councillors in my ward are Green. Feels like most of the blue vote comes from outside the town itself.

when all hope is lost you might as well try a bit of grifting, right out of the trump playbook

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/apr/04/tories-planned-to-make-millions-from-members-data-with-true-blue-app

Senior Conservative party officials worked on plans to hand over its entire membership database for a commercial venture that promised to make tens of millions of pounds, the Guardian can reveal.

Leaked documents show Tory executives discussed exploiting members’ personal data to build a mobile phone app that could track users’ locations and allow big brands to advertise to Conservative supporters. The party would take a cut of sales.

Check the family history. There's at least 1 high court judge in there. Entitled arsehats the lot.

There's also his "military service" though I'm not sure if this was TA or actually serving

Tn10 was Tory when we were first there. All the blue rinses started to die off and families move in so I'm not surprised it's now green.

Entitled or not, a leading expert on privacy law who in his time did a huge amount to help reduce the creep superinjunctions.

judge did judging, then?

isn't that what they are paid (by us) for?