US Politics

Explain.

Saying i don't think the US will be fucked if Trump wins is not the same as saying Trump winning isn't fucked. I said the former not the latter.

I know you did. Now explain why you don't think it will be fucked.

nut job 'preppers'

you need to have a bidet running from a rain water collection system.

Not been following this thread for a little while, so apologies if it's been posted already - Biden's leading in Michigan now as well according to the graphic:

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2020/nov/03/us-election-2020-live-results-donald-trump-joe-biden-who-won-presidential-republican-democrat

Yeah this is a big trend - he is 6000 votes up now. I'm expecting Biden to win now, and Trump to go fucking nuts as the pressure cranks up as the day progresses

Two muppets, Buckethead and a man wearing a sash. Makes you feel proud to be British.

Is the libertarian party in the States not a bunch of nut job 'preppers'

The ones I've encountered are well-off people who refuse to acknowledge government / society had any role in them being well-off.

Two muppets? I only see one.

Edit: Elmo in the background, missed him.

I scrawled a quick excel this morning about 10:00 when we were talking about Pensylvania and happened just now to still have it open on my machine. Minus Jorgenson's votes, back then it was 56;4% Trump, 43.58% Biden.

Since then it's now 55.4% Trump, 44.6% Biden; but interestingly of the 187,000 extra votes they've counted according to my figures Biden's won 73% of them. Biden only needed 60-odd% of the remaining votes to overturn the 10:00 deficit.

#NotAPoliticalDataScientist

And he doesn't even need Pennsylvania to get to 270.

Trump to go fucking nuts as the pressure cranks up as the day progresses

This would be good popcorn, if there weren't the distinct possibility that he's going to do/say something stupid and dangerous.

I'm going to enjoy a nice break from this when I take my daughter for her swimming lesson later.

Tell me about it. Looking forward to cooking with some loud music on.

North Carolina and Georgia still in play too; none of the talking heads have mentioned them

This looking like an increasingly likely outcome: https://twitter.com/robfordmancs/status/1323926738330624001

edit: Although to be honest making any kind of political prediction is a fools errand right now.

GA requires Biden to take 2/3 of the remaining votes.

It's certainly possible as the two counties that aren't 100% reported are both right near Atlanta, and it's the Southern cities (rather than rural areas) that are mostly voting Democrat.

Fulton County, GA is 96.61% reported and is 71.8% Biden.
DeKalb County, GA is 98.95% reported and 83% Biden.

However, it doesn't give enough info as there are a few counties that border those that voted in the majority for Trump. I've no idea what the make up is of the districts there that haven't declared.

NC is impossible to call right now, the deadline for postal votes in NC is November 12th.

(It's Nov 10th for NV and AK.)

I went for a run earlier, was great to get away from it all and run off some of the caffeine that had me twitching at my desk.

When might bookies pay out given how protracted it could get?

I do this too. Very loud. Works a treat to get me out of a bad mood after a shit day

Sounds sensible. Add the increase in violence country wide as the whiteys start using all the ammo they've been storing up.

He's going at it again: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324004491612618752

Reading the replies to that tweet is scary. It just beggars belief what utter numbskulls they are!

It's worth reading @Smitty_'s post history before bothering to respond to that.

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This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2020. If more than one election takes place in 2020, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

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Betfair going with electoral college regardless.

Mwah, you had naturalized EU immigrants voting for Brexit too, despite all the hard anti immigration rhetoric.