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  • With this sort of shift in vote share the seat models are near useless.

  • When a general election hasn't even been announced, when one party is definitely changing their leader beforehand, and so soon after a "single issue" type of election where smaller parties are bound to do well, a Westminster voting intentions poll is near useless too.

    But what else are politics teachers going to talk about in half term? The Giro stage isn't on TV yet.

  • "I'm not a careerist," says politician who switches parties twice in year to whichever one is most likely to advance his career.

    Umunna’s defection raised eyebrows among some of his Change UK colleagues, who claimed he was the author of a leaked party strategy document urging an adversarial approach to the Lib Dems.

    Labour got c38,000 votes in Streatham in 2017, compared to the Lib Dems' c3,600.

    A by-election would be an excellent way to show you are a committed representative, surely your constituents love you?

  • He'll be wanting a safe seat I'd have thought.

  • The best thing is that what he actually said, which I assume is being reported faithfully in the Guardian, was:

    And I’m not sure what more I could do to prove that I’m not, not a careerist.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/13/chuka-umunna-joins-liberal-democrats-after-quitting-change-uk

    It's undoubtedly an unintentional double negative, but ...

  • Looks like you had the gift of foresight here.

    Any ideas when Corbyn will go? I'd like to put a bet on that one.

  • To be fair, he was Labour from 2006 to 2019 and left because he did not like Labour's direction under Corbyn. If he is pushing for Remain, he is trying to join whichever party is most likely to get there. There was a lot of talk about how remain voters were split across change UK, the greens, and lib dems. Joining the largest of the three to consolidate seems to make sense. The voting numbers from 2017 suggest that a careerist would try to stick it out at Labour.

  • "I'm not a careerist," says politician who switches parties twice in year to whichever one is most likely to advance his career.

    He chose the party with a clear line on what he thinks is the most important issue. He's a terrible careerist, it's a bad political move, but it means he can campaign to remain from a stronger platform. May well lose him his seat. Last few months have shown him to be a surprisingly inept politician for someone once tipped as a future leader.

    The one thing he is not, is a tribalist, but sadly that seems to be the way our politics is going.

  • Looks like you had the gift of foresight here.

    Any ideas when Corbyn will go? I'd like to put a bet on that one.

    Williamson has been immediately kicked out again!
    I think Corbyn will go as soon as we resolve Brexit

  • He’ll be 103 then.

  • It will take longer than that I think

    My point was, it won't ever be resolved. Even if we leave, the pro-EU campaign will carry on. And vice versa.

  • I better leave it in that case. Last time I logged into the Brexit thread to ask 'has this been resolved yet' at least four people from that thread tracked me down to my house and punched me in the back of the neck. Bit strong.

  • A sadly divisive issue.

  • Total genius

  • https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jul/24/jared-omara-aide-uses-sheffield-mp-twitter-account-to-quit-in-angry-tirade

    “Yes it was a ridiculous statement but it’s the one thing I think might motivate change.”

  • The attention-seeker who quit was the guy behind the Britain Furst parody page and some have even suggested he's a Tory voter.

    This is one of those things that no one comes out of well.

  • Deeply depressing election result in Thüringen.

  • Bodo Ramelow is a weird name

  • Those greedy Tories

  • I think this is the right place for this question.

    I am trying to understand the reality behind the heat that Khan gets for knife crime in London.

    I read people saying that he has not done enough all the time. I've tried to identify what he has the power to do and what he hasn't done that is within his power to address the problem.

    I've asked quite a few of his critics and nobody has been able to give me an example of a single thing that he could be doing that he isn't doing already.

    Knife crime is rising more slowly in London than in other UK cities but their mayors don't seem to get the same heat that he does. What am I missing? Lets not cover the racism side because that is clearly part of it for some people.

    What could Sidiq Khan be doing to tackle knife crime in London that he isn't doing now?

  • For the press he could be more white and conservative.

  • Noted. But aside from the obvious race issue that drives some people's negative opinions of him, i'd really like to understand if there is any truth at all to the accusation that he is being neglectful of the situation.

  • @Oliver Schick

    You tend to be well versed on London Mayoral issues. Any views?

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Politics Chat.

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