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@General_Lucifer
I'm thinking that Cunego might try and make a gap on the decent, not the climb.
The Schlecks are sketchy descenders, same for Basso. Contador is ok, as is Voeckler.
Cunego could try and force a split in the group of favourites, taking three or four good descenders and force a gap, then hold off the bunch with a bit of through-and-off to the finish.
Nestles back in armchair, stroking white cat