Russian invasion of Ukraine

Current Russian recruitment was around 30k a month, but Russian losses are now around 1k a day.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-6-2024

Russian officials are reportedly concerned about decreasing
recruitment rates ahead of the expected Russian Summer 2024 offensive
effort, and it is unclear if the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) has
maintained the roughly 30,000 recruitment rate it reportedly had in
January and April of 2024

Pavlyuk stated in early May 2024 that Russian forces intended to
generate about 100,000 more personnel for use in offensive operations
this June and July and 300,000 more personnel by the end of 2024.[23]
Russia will likely fall far short of this immediate and near-term
goal, even at the lower limit of reported or suggested monthly Russian
casualties and the upper limit of reported monthly Russian force
generation. ISW continues to assess that likely poorly trained and
equipped Russian operational- and strategic-level reserves are
unlikely to be ready to act as a first-echelon penetration force or as
a second-echelon exploitation force capable of conducting large-scale
assaults in 2024 if Ukrainian forces have the wherewithal to resist
them

Ibid

Some news from Vovchansk.

Same playbook from the USSR days in Afghanistan. Males 14 and up were either pressed into service with their militias, or shot.

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russian-armour-piercing-tank-rounds-be-made-india-rostec-says-2024-07-04/

India deciding it’s a big enough player on the world stage to stick two fingers up at NATO? Or a smart strategic move to pull Russia away from China? Or perhaps they estimate the odds of NATO entering the conflict are low enough, and their own military might is a strong enough deterrent, to preclude India becoming wrapped up in a wider war?

You’d assume that the Quad/Quad+ is obsolete then.

Given that Japan has territorial disputes with Russia, I don’t think they’ll be very happy with India making munitions for them. Australia may not have any direct skin in the game, but if the US redirects military resources towards Europe and away from Asia-Pacific, they’re in no position to hold back an already pushy China by themselves.

Isn't this all part of India has been buying all the Russian oil up in rupees and Russia now has shit loads of rupees to spend so its increasing its imports from India

I’m sure it is related to that, but fabricating weapons for Russia to blow up Ukrainian people and ex-NATO vehicles, and possibly NATO personnel in this decade (it could take a few years to come online anyway), is a pretty big statement. Just what the full statement is, is my question.

India also buys loads of military kit from Russia, so having Russia build them a factory that they could nationalise in an emergency, for advanced munitions that work with their pre-existing hardware, could be quite advantageous for India.

It's a massive embarrassment to Russia that it has to beg India to produce ammo. Lack of manpower due to the meat grinder, lack of resources (especially microprocessors) due to sanctions, air strikes and sabotage mean that Russia's days as one of the world's biggest arms exporter are becoming a distant memory. It also demonstrates (if anyone was in doubt) that Modi has no moral compass, much like Erdogan.

Modi is a religious extremist and has time and again that he can’t be trusted.

A children’s hospital
Fuck you russ*a, fuck you put*n, you despicable c*nts

I thought I'd have grown desentisised by now, but fucking hell:

This hits quite close to home; I lived in that hospital for ages as a kid, being treated for immunodeficiency caused by being near Chernobyl when it happened.

Jesus wept. Call the Guardian and tell them about it (if you don't mind the loss of privacy).

🐤

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Russian oil depots are being explodey again:

https://x.com/JustAJaneJ/status/1812005341925667021

Kyiv is the preferred Anglicanisation, instead of the Russian styled Kiev.

This March interview with Greg Bagwell revealed quite a bit about Russian air power. Bagwell was in charge of RAF combat and flew a lot of Tornado missions in various wars. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g6_bhjwc2Lw&t=2075s

I had chicken Kiew (sic) today.
Complimented the host for the choice.

Ukrainian delivery ward announcement - according to the laws of Ukraine it is not allowed to give children names containing numbers or special characters. That includes F-16!!!

Falcon or Viper will have to do.

Everyone should name their kids after their favourite Gladiator.

russia moaning that ukraine have invaded their sovereign territory and are targeting civilian buildings !