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  • Reform predicted 13 seats a bit concerning - could be some serious support there. UKIP managed 1 MP in 2015 but had 12.6% of the vote share.

    Feels less like an electorate voting in Labour, and more like people melting away from the Conservatives.

  • That could be where the exit poll is least reliable though.

    It's likely they've polled >20% in lots of places but they'll be close to Labour and Conservatives and the exit poll might not be picking up on that nuance.

    Fingers crossed they end up with nothing obviously.

  • Good point, will be diving into the numbers tomorrow. Fingers crossed…

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