General Election 2024

What is MRP?

Multilevel Regression and Poststratification modelling. Apparently.

It's a model that works on a constituency by constituency basis that looks at demographics as well as polling information.

It's explained here:

https://www.survation.com/what-is-mrp/

Go, the French left!

https://jacobin.com/2024/06/france-popular-front-macron-le-pen

Lots of envy for their electoral options.

Looks like Reform are winning over planted stooges I mean young people:

https://x.com/Ekofalls47/status/1801669354809082248

Jesus that's was so unbelievably painful to listen to.

"They locked me in my room till I signed a form to admit I'm transphobic".

No they didn't.

Right? Imagine having a left-wing party to vote for.

Multi-level regression with post-stratification

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multilevel_regression_with_poststratification

A refined model for analysing the effect of polls at a constituency level.

same in chellaston as I drove through

No tory signs spotted in the Pauline Latham's constituency though so that's positive

makes me think of this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZRc0by2vZ7k&ab_channel=IanD

Surely if you can afford to send your children private you’re doing well enough to pay a bit more

Maybe pushing to pay for private school already involved finding the "bit more"?

Some prep schools are 9k a year ish so on the border of affordability for real salaries.

Some prep schools are 9k a year ish so on the border of affordability for real salaries.

Zero fucking sympathy for any trying pay their way into an advantage. By all means do it if you want but you shouldn't be getting a tax break for it.

^ this.

"farage phenomena" has such a different ring to it than "farage phenomenon"

Exactly. For all the "why should people have to pay vat on school fees", the real question is "why shouldn't they".

Yes. The more marginalised the private education sector becomes, the better.

It's really expensive? Ok, that's a good thing.

My suggestion wasn't to necessarily remove charitable status, but to extend / enforce the existing legislation to ensure that private schools actually act charitably.

Are teachers in private schools in separate pension schemes per school?

Varies

Many independent schools include access to the Teachers' Pension Scheme (TPS) as part of their reward package

So you would pick the nearest school to your house for your kids and not consider one further away but needing to buy a bus pass?

I've no issues with people trying to do the best for their kids. I don't like the idea of private schools or rich cunts.

hate the game not the players.

Edit: pro vat on the fees here.

So you would pick the nearest school to your house for your kids and not consider one further away but needing to buy a bus pass?

This is in no way analogous to me saying I have zero sympathy for people trying to pay for an advantage. I don't think private schools should exist but they do and everyone will try in ways they can to improve their children's lives but if you have the financial means to pay for private schools, private tutors, music classes etc then by all means do it but you shouldn't get a tax break in order help pay for it

I'm sorry but I disagree, you are still paying for an advantage. It's just a matter of scale from paying for travel to a better school, through tutors and private schools.

I don't see how music lessons or sports clubs or swimming lessons are any part of this discussion, surely thats just a social thing?

I agree you should be paying for any advantage and it should come with full tax implications.

I don't see how music lessons or sports clubs or swimming lessons are any part of this discussion, surely thats just a social thing?

Depends doesn't it?

When I looked a while back the selective secondary schools had extra weighting for music, and to a lesser extent sports.