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I doubt it's anything that strategic.
Consider it from his position:
- Which is more likely, people view him holding on for longer as a negative thus increasing their loss vs. some outlier event reduces the level of defeat?
- On a stats basis is it better to be PM for a longer or shorter period of time?
- When you're drowning in your own political ineptitude is it easier to do nothing or do something?
- Which is more likely, people view him holding on for longer as a negative thus increasing their loss vs. some outlier event reduces the level of defeat?
Maybe the local election results will push a confidence vote and sunak will see the writing and call the GE. We can but hope