Russian invasion of Ukraine

My personal guess is that the war won't be won inch by inch on the battle field, but rather following a societal collapse in Russia of some sort. A large number of dead and injured would most likely hasten this collapse

One thing you may not be aware of is that Russia is quite big and has quite a lot of different peoples. They’ll choose the cannon fodder. They can bleed the Tuvans, Siberians, Chechens, whoever, all day long, it’ll be no threat to Moscow.

Also, what history of success have we seen in Putin resistance?