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  • They are recovering territory and wearing down Russian reserves in the mean time. I Still believe they'll get a breakthrough at some point on the front line.

    The Ukrainians sure aren't at the point they 'should just accept' some random borders on sovereign land the Russians declared!

  • they'll get a breakthrough at some point

    My personal guess is that the war won't be won inch by inch on the battle field, but rather following a societal collapse in Russia of some sort. A large number of dead and injured would most likely hasten this collapse so it's just a matter of grinding them down until things finally take a momentous turn all of a sudden. In my opinion looking a the battle maps for results is failing to see the (potentially) bigger picture.

  • They don't need many troops to defend fortified positions. IIRC you need at least 4 times as many troops if you want to gain territory. Perhaps more, given the density of mines and the lack of air support.

  • My personal guess is that the war won't be won inch by inch on the battle field, but rather following a societal collapse in Russia of some sort. A large number of dead and injured would most likely hasten this collapse

    One thing you may not be aware of is that Russia is quite big and has quite a lot of different peoples. They’ll choose the cannon fodder. They can bleed the Tuvans, Siberians, Chechens, whoever, all day long, it’ll be no threat to Moscow.

    Also, what history of success have we seen in Putin resistance?

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