-
Quite. There are two ways out of this war as far as I can see:
- Total defeat for Russia and regime change.
- Negotiated settlement with Russia being given some meaningless piffle Putin can wave around like a consolation goal in a 5-a-side tournament.
Given the risks associated with Option 1, and the fact that the meaningless piffle associated with Option 2 would be just meaningless piffle, I think Option 2 is a more likely outcome. If the Russian people want to get ride of Putin, that's a matter for them. I think history suggests that regime change imposed from outside rarely ends well, much as I wish that wasn't the case.
- Total defeat for Russia and regime change.
Not me but that's not the point
Two ways out of this war.
1) Collapse of Putin and the Russian government.
2) Withdrawal under a withdrawal agreement
If it's the latter, it won't be like the Berlin Declaration. It will probably have to recognise Russia's sovereignty if they will sign it. I assume they will try to hang on to annexed land...one would assume Ukraine will not budge on this.
In reality, I expect the assurances to be along the lines of "more more NATO aggression" and "no attacks in Russian soil". and that sort of meaningless bullshit. Something Outin can wave as a sign that he hasn't just had his ass handed to him.