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there's no indication of how many letters Brady has received is there? Just that its over the threshold?

Yes, probably. And there is no electorate that is more treacherous!

I still think they'll effectively say they have more confidence in BJ than anyone else. They might not be far wrong on that either, which is the saddest thing.

I understand that the odds are stacked in Johnson's favour, but I still think he will lose and a leadership contest will be triggered.

That was damning reading. But it’s all true and more

there's no indication of how many letters Brady has received is there? Just that its over the threshold?

The only formal confirmation is that over 15% of Tory MPs have put a letter in.

Has anyone ever passed one of these (by any percentage) and then proceeded to enjoy a long, fruitful prime ministership afterwards?

I don't know how to find out but assume not? In that case he must be toast now whether he passes or not.

Edit - wrong type of vote

Has anyone ever passed one of these (by any percentage) and then proceeded to enjoy a long, fruitful prime ministership afterwards?

I don't know how to find this out either but this (paywalled) article has some good background reading.

https://web.archive.org/web/20210816011516/https://www.historyextra.com/period/modern/vote-no-confidence-history-facts-explain-first-prime-minister/

I can't find any record of somebody staying as leader for a full year after a VOC but that doesn't mean it hasn't happened ofc.

tynan rejoins LFGSS.

He's a bit busy in devon in at the moment

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What's this about then?

https://twitter.com/MarinaPurkiss/status/1533732719062142976

My guess is that the Govt had expected death figures from releasing hospital patients into care homes and there's evidence that they ignored it and did it anyway. Possibly even with a callous "it'll help sort out the pension crisis" too.

Just a guess though, we'll find out soon for sure.

Dream scenario:

BJ goes.
Horrific leadership race where all the main contenders cancel each other out.
Tobias Ellwood achieves the unthinkable and wins.
We rejoin the Customs Union and Single Market.
Labour win the GE next year.
We are back in the EU by 2030.
We win Eurovision next year.
tynan rejoins LFGSS.

the sunlit uplands we were promised.

Also needs:-

...

• FPTP replaced by PR
  
• An end to two party politics in the UK
  

Nice to see they are using good old measurements ...

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1. FPTP replaced by PR
   
2. An end to two party politics in the UK
   
3. Tags back
   
   

If Bojo loses, will he step down and we get Deputy Raaaab in the interim?

Now you're just being silly.

I don't think Boris would ever step down. He'll go on until the very last second.

And Blue Passports of course!

4 Bring back rep

I still think they'll effectively say they have more confidence in BJ than anyone else. They might not be far wrong on that either, which is the saddest thing.

You can always trust a crook to act crooked.

Johnson has allowed corruption to reign supreme. It’s likely that everyone in his party has benefited from his cravenness, and they know it. It’s also likely he’s personally built up a golden parachute that could block out the Sun.

Jeremy Hunt has called for a change of leadership

I would love to be a fly on the wall of the plotters today!

Classic Dom is quiet on twitter

“Jacob Rees-Mogg, who led calls for the Tory confidence vote, said losing the support of a third of her MPs was a "terrible result for the Prime Minister" & called on her to resign”

A reminder to Jacob Rees-Mogg about the resignation threshold he set for Theresa May in Dec 2018.

https://twitter.com/StewartWood/status/1533714685840789505

No doubt it will be different this time