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  • step up in violence and destruction

    It's this isn't it. The easy win didn't happen, but Russia can surely escalate in ways Ukraine can't.

  • The easy win didn't happen, but Russia can surely escalate in ways Ukraine can't.

    Yes. For one thing, Russia still has a fully functioning economy and supply chain, while Ukraine's is being torn apart. Zelenskyy probably had this very much on his mind when he said "I need ammunition, not a ride". If Putin's resolve holds, time and logistics are on his side.

  • Which is where severe economic sanctions will hopefully start to bite.
    Russia has oil and resources, but if funding dries out, and soldiers run out, and China are hesitant to help, then it’s Putin’s time and logistics vs the ROTW feeding supplies through South-West Ukraine.

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