Russian invasion of Ukraine

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Tonts in reply to @badboybjorn

Because its war and even in a lot less serious matters ppl who know what they are doing have contingency plans?

This seems apt: https://samf.substack.com/p/a-reckless-gamble?

If it is the case, as Putin has consistently claimed, that Ukraine is a non-state, an artificial creation, with a government that is illegitimate and controlled by Nazis, then it would not be surprising if he also supposed that ordinary Ukrainians would not fight hard for such an entity. They might even, as the Russian Ambassador to the UN suggested, greet the incoming Russian forces as liberators

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badboybjorn in reply to @Tonts

I dont think anyone really believes thats what putin thinks but rather that this type of rethoric is what he thinks will work persuading the population that this war is a necessary act.

Chasing nazis sounds good to russians and well to most ppl in the world tbh.

Putin may be a lot of things but he is not dumb enough to surround himself with military personal that bring thousands of tanks but forgot to bring the fuel.

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deleted in reply to @badboybjorn

Putin may be a lot of things but he is not dumb enough to surround himself with military personal that brings thousands of tanks but forgot the fuel.

Are we sure about this? That televised meeting where all the national security leaders were terrified of them and he humiliated them in front of the nation suggests he has surrounded himself with yes men. Are his advisors telling him anything other than what he wants to hear? You can quickly get detached from reality if you don't have anyone that will tell you the truth.
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Fox in reply to @badboybjorn

Putin may be a lot of things but he is not dumb enough to surround himself with military personal that bring thousands of tanks but forgot to bring the fuel.

I'd presume that Putin didn't personally plan the logistics, what forces to deploy where etc.

And his inner circle apparently thought it was a bluff too:
https://theweek.com/russo-ukrainian-war/1010586/putins-inner-circle-reportedly-seemed-to-think-his-military-buildup-was

What if they just did bluff-level prep, not real war prep?

The other (possibly more obvious) scenario is that the higher than anticipated level of resistance is making it hard to get the fuel and other logistical supplies through.

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