• Interesting snippets of info in the ONS data today. As we all know, cases peaked on 29th December but the ONS infectivity survey shows this is not the case. Infections, in all regions but London, were increasing until at least 12th Jan.

    I'm not sure I understand the reasons why, but the bottom line is that Omicron was still on the increase in the community (ONS exclude institutional infections) for over two weeks after the dashboard reported a peak.

    This basicaly means that we can't plan with case data anymore and have to rely on lagging indicators to make policy decisions. Perhaps not such a big impact with this variant, but I hope we aren't in the same position with unreliable test/case data if a more problematic variant appears.

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