• Death rates are going up again, log plot of Deaths within 28 days of positive test by date of death (from here: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths) shows a steady doubling although
    a) at a longer doubling interval than the 1st wave (which was really sharp) and the 2nd wave
    b) with more noise than before (although that tends to even itself out once the delayed reported deaths come in)

    Really can't see how relaxing things on July 19th isn't going to result in 100+ deaths a day within 4-6 weeks.

  • The assumed causal link between a positive test and death must be much fuzzier than it was pre-vaccine though.

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