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Same experience as you but I sell more expensive items - £500 plus usually.
I too have more than one account (two accounts in total). On one, I have changed to managed payments, leaving the other as 'normal' to see how things pan out after the cut off date I was given of 31 May 2021.
I have received the same offers as you and took advantage of 1. on the managed payments account to see how things work out. On the normal account, I have the £3 offer (3.) so it is to get me to buckle and make that managed payments too. I will be swerving 2. altogether for the managed payments account as why put forward 50% fees having made a more generous offer week or so ago (the 80% one)?
I would be interested to know how selling directly is enforced (when you leave your number in the listing, to answer questions of course). It would be good to understand how there will be enforcement on larger more expensive items in which potential buyer would like to view before pulling the trigger. A bike for example.
Timely as was going to come on here to comment on promotions. There doesnt seem to be any logic to who gets selling promotion offers. I experienced the same as aggi, not getting any offers on one account whilst receiving offers on another account. One of reasons set up another selling account was to see how affected promotions.
When I switched to managed payments (bypassing paypal) I started getting seller promotion offers again on both my selling accounts. The offers I have received are:
No insertion fee. Final value 80% of 12.8% variable plus 30p (on both accounts 2 weeks ago). This worked out better than the £1 final value fee + paypal fees especially for cheaper items < £10.
No insertion fee. Final value 50% of 12.8% variable plus 30p (on one account this weekend). This is worse than the £1 final value fee. I wont accept this offer for reasons below
Max £3 final value fee (on another account this weekend). This sounds worse than the £1 final value fee of old but with no paypal fees it works out lower fees than the old £1 max on any sale over £60 and lower fees than the 80% of variable (1. above) on any sale above £100.
My take is that ebay are experimenting and tuning their small seller promotion offers at the moment since the change to managed payments to see what sellers will accept. For that reason I definitely wont accept option 2 above because less people accept, more likely ebay will improve the promotion. I will have a think before I accept option 3.
Thought it worth posting my experience up in case anyone else has any insight?