• The Graun and the FT both do a 7 day average graph. The new case rate is dropping fast now, and the timing suggests lockdown is having an effect.

    Given the general "normal" number of people out and about I wonder where the cause and effect actually lies? Pubs? Gyms? Not Schools?

  • In Northern Ireland kids being at school plays a fair bit in spreading Coronavirus.

    Not sure how much you can extend that to the whole of the UK.

    A superspreader at a wedding also caused a fair bit of causes in one town...

    Now there are keeping hospitality and shops on top shut for 2 weeks (sigh...) so that will allow more calculated guesswork for Rona spreaders.

    But our T&T is also not good enough for really accurate figures of what did what.

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