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The Graun and the FT both do a 7 day average graph. The new case rate is dropping fast now, and the timing suggests lockdown is having an effect.
Given the general "normal" number of people out and about I wonder where the cause and effect actually lies? Pubs? Gyms? Not Schools?
Backstop-
Plus Work places and public transport.
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The Graun and the FT both do a 7 day average graph.
Nice one - thanks.
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In Northern Ireland kids being at school plays a fair bit in spreading Coronavirus.
Not sure how much you can extend that to the whole of the UK.
A superspreader at a wedding also caused a fair bit of causes in one town...
Now there are keeping hospitality and shops on top shut for 2 weeks (sigh...) so that will allow more calculated guesswork for Rona spreaders.
But our T&T is also not good enough for really accurate figures of what did what.
villa-ru
Jonny69
JWestland
Daily cases definitely dropping now. Take out the big dip yesterday and the curve is still definitely on the way down. Probably (hopefully) be around the 10k mark by the end of lockdown and continue going down for a while.
Deaths look like they’re still rising but the rate of increase looks like its decreasing. I’m guessing we’ll see the current peak in about 2 weeks or so. Sad that extrapolating that out suggests the death rate will still be very high over Christmas.
/CSB / expert armchair statistician etc.