US Politics

ok thanks @miro_o and @Greenbank

... oops. As greenback says above.

Three of GW Bush lawyers that were contesting the 2000 vote counts now sit on the Supreme Court. Rudy Giuliani and Jay Sekulow are not those lawyers.

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This is best.

Georgia 61k votes outstanding, Trump leading by 18k. Let's hope ~65% of those votes are for Biden.

Georgia 50k votes outstanding, Trump leading by 14765. Biden requires ~64.8% of those remaining votes.

Some legal bloke on the news here said that perhaps pennsylvania legal battles could amount to something eventually (but unlikely in his opinion) but said that the cases in other states would likely not see the courts

Have no idea of how correct his opinon info was tho

The Pennsylvania issue is about these late arriving postal ballots. I think I heard Biden can win without them if things keep tracking they way are - so it only becomes a risk if he wins only after the late arriving ballots are included.

They are keeping the ballot boxes separate so they will have two tallies - one with late arriving and one without. Hopefully it won't come to that.

In Minnesota, there’s evidence that the GOP recruited people to run with marijuana legalization parties in key elections throughout the state. In some cases, these spoiler candidates won upwards of 6 percent of the vote — more than the margin between the Democratic-Farmer-Labor (Minnesota’s Democratic Party) and GOP candidates — and seem to have been a decisive factor in tipping at least one election to the GOP.

Despicable

Also - looks like the Dems still have an outside chance of getting the Senate too. Both the Georgia Senate races look to be going to January run-offs. The picture in Jan could be rather different if Trump is on his way out the door in a mega sulk in terms of getting out the Republican vote a second time around.

After most of 24h sat at a lead of 7647 for Biden in Nevada it just jumped up to 12042.

Yes - I heard that too. one of the states that did a recount before said it changed the numbers by around 300 votes so needs to be really close to have any likely impact.
Most of the legal stuff is just out there to rile up the Trump base and reinforce the stolen election narrative.
Still think Biden might even get to 300+. Would be good to beat Trump's 304 which he can with GA, PA and NV (and AZ).

Same with running Kanye, it was all GOP lawyers doing the work for him.

Don't want to get anyone's hopes up, but Nate Silver (if you trust him):

I’m not a decision desk, but I suppose I think Nevada is on the verge of being callable at this point. Two-thirds of the state’s population is in Clark County and Biden is gaining big in Clark County! Not sure I see the route for a Trump comeback.

Although FiveThirtyEight haven't called Arizona, so that's worth also keeping in mind.

Fake news, the Trump's vocabulary doesn't contain grace and decorum.

This is almost as good as a potato chop; genuine campaign statement

^ this is how he is going to stop Twitter blocking his bullshit

I don't understand. Does he not think the people monitoring his tweets can read what's written in the attached images?

Betfair odds jumped to 1.07 and 9.0. Something is coming...

2% of votes left in Georgia, if those 100.000 votes are at 60 / 40 distribution Biden would gain 20.000 votes, changing his 15.000 deficit into a 5000 lead? Or is this thinking too wishful?

Nope - exactly that. Biden comfortably ahead of that proportion thus far - somewhere closer to 65%

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Still worth a £1 on Trump, just incase.