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HoL can only send the bill back a few times before the commons can force it through. The 80 seat majority means the HoL is toothless in the face of this government.
Ramsaye-
My limited understanding is that the deadline is his problem, they could resort to the Parliment Act but it allows the Lords one year delaying power before the Commons can force it through, which Boris doesn't have
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The Salisbury Convention, which you are citing here, is based upon manifesto commitments. With this Bill, there is a view that, because the Government campaigned and were elected on the deal as encapsulated in the Withdrawal Agreement, then changing that goes against what is expected and can be challenged by the Lords.
greentricky
andyp
Johnson won't get this bill through the HoL, and he can't present the same bill twice, but he can't back down because the fanatics in his party will revolt. He has an 80 seat majority, but only for doing things that the ERG wants - as soon as he tries to do something they don't then they will revolt en-masse.
I think he's stuck. What does he do if the HoL refuse his bill and he's then got to wear the situation he's just told everyone is impossible? Plus the EU is going to put much stronger enforcement provisions in anything they agree to sign with the UK now.