• Clearly a lot of tropical or equatorial countries are going to struggle in testing and public health data. I was looking at Gulf States (UAE, Bahrain, Qatar), which have some of the highest tests per million of population ratios in the world. They all had first cases in late January or early February, and all have total cases of less than 6k, and total deaths less than 35. I don't know what other measures they have taken and appreciate warmer climate is one amongst hundreds of factors. I read the abstract from the link you posted, which seemed to say that coronaviruses are highly seasonal.

  • In the Gulf States you spend a lot of your life in semi-quarantine anyway - people spend a lot of their spare time at home because it's too hot to go out. The only other comfortable place to spend time is in those huge shopping malls, which have been shut. They're probably the easiest countries in the world to impose social distancing.

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