Chat about Novel Coronavirus - 2019-nCoV - COVID-19

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Brommers in reply to @abr

Obviously the immediate protection of life comes before everything else, but is it possible for the pandemic to subside without either 'herd immunity' or indefinite draconian measures?

Yes, production of an effective vaccine or eradication through some seriously draconian measures.

Is there any data yet to suggest it won't inevitably flare up again?

No. It may well do. That's the risk you run with the suppression approach. You take the brakes off the restrictions on personal movement and the like, you get an infection, and the whole cycle kicks off again because the vast majority of the population are still vulnerable.

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abr in reply to @Brommers

Yeah, so probably 6-12 months for a vaccine, and in the meantime fluctuating levels of continuing lockdown across the world to help health systems.

Undoubtedly better than 8000,000 dying in the UK alone, but definitely makes me wonder why people are talking about in terms of weeks rather than months.

Edit: Could some form of routine mass testing feasibly help in the mean time (along the lines of what's attributed to the success in Korea)? Allow greater levels of normality because flare ups are getting nipped in the bud earlier - or are all sorts of restrictions required for it to work?

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andyp in reply to @abr

Because people can cope mentally if they think this is a short term thing and, as they adjust to what it means for their daily lives, become accustomed to the new normal. I think most people understand that this could be months rather than weeks, but it'll take time to accept that.

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