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Fox
spenceey
Italy is most likely a few days, possibly a week ahead of other nations in its infection rates. So it is still most likely worse there than other places.
I fully expect other countries to soon be in the same sort of boat, though. Switzerland went from 1 to 100 in a week, and in about 4 days is now up to 375. This is representative of the growth factor that we saw in italy. Obviously, the population is smaller, but so far it seems to be a few days behind Italy in terms of infection rates.
Fundamentally though, the problem is that many places simply aren't engaging in lots of testing. We know this disease is highly contagious. We know that it has an incubation period of around 5 days.
If we look at Spain, for example, it went from 100 infect to 1000 infected in a week. This is the same rate (roughly) as in Italy, between the 23rd and 29th of February. In other words, Spain is about 10 days behind Italy. I would expect Spain, by the 20th of March, to be sitting roughly where Italy is today, i.e. somewhere between 9k-10k infected.
Things are probably worse in Italy than elsewhere, but it's a question of "days until shit hits the fan elsewhere" more than "this problem will not be as bad in other countries".