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SwissChap
A few things:
1). Polls are giving a clear lead to Conservatives, but they are also showing a late and significant swing to Labour.
2). There are good reasons to think the polls are overstating the Tory lead due to weightings and methodologies, none to think vice versa. Pre vote polls have a pretty poor recent record.
3). Two core Labour messages (you can't trust the Tories with NHS and Boris is a liar who is not fit for office) have gained traction in the media and dominated final days of the campaign.
4). Labour canvassing game is strong - that can make a big difference. What I am hearing from well connected sources is they feel the Tories can be stopped and it is on a knife edge.
5). This is nothing but a personal sense, but my gut is that long-established Labour voters in 'Red Wall' seats won't be able to bring themselves to vote for the Tories on the day, and will stay home.