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  • I'm optimistic as well from all the data points and anecdotes I'm encountering.

    Not trying to be a dick, but which data points? All I see looks like a small, but still sizeable enough Tory majority. And anecdotes are not worth much in a situation like this unfortunately, there is never any guarantee that they'll be in any way representative.

    I'll gladly let myself be surprised of course, but currently I'm not seeing much pointing in that direction.

  • I have not. Is there reason to believe that person specifically knows something more though? I mean I've seen a lot of analysis of polls and a lot of back and forth about different polling methods etc., but nothing that would have made me think the poll average is significantly wrong.

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