Boris leadership 2019

there is just no way the winner of this race, whichever tosser it is, is going to govern long time.

Do you not think?

Hopefully you're right, but I think BJ will walk any election against JC.

Maybe I'm being a bit blasé but I'm watching this whole leadership race with a kind of detached amusement, esp. given what that YouGov poll says ... there is just no way the winner of this race, whichever tosser it is, is going to govern long time.

I'm actually surprised Johnson is blowing his load in a race now, given how precarious his position will be as leader - he could quite easily be PM for less time than May or Brown.

I think I said this earlier, but I believe that Johnson is campaigning to win this contest, I think that Stewart is campaigning to win the next one.

Aye. Entirely explains how the leadership contest is going, though.

I think the Tories are playing us. They've engineered Stewart as the plucky underdog to take on Corbyn at the polls. Shy tories have drunk the koolaid.

Shy tories

shy rory-s

Rory in, Raab and Javid get fucked

Romentum.

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1141029016956231680?s=19

B. Johnson: 126 (+12)
J. Hunt: 46 (+3)
M. Gove: 41 (+4)
R. Stewart: 37 (+18)
S. Javid: 33 (+10)
D. Raab: 30 (+3)

Good riddance to Raab. Javid still in (I think).

Doesn’t Javid scrape through?

Yes, I just heard the announcement. Javid is in.

I apologise to Javid. Wishful thinking on my part

I think he’d take little from an apology now, it’s clear he should quit now.

I just put £20 on Double Oh Stewart to get the top job. At 11:1.

I am pretty sure it'll be him v Boris.

So....if each candidate's current supporters don't change their vote, whoever Boris is against in the final two would need about 75+ % of those supporters of the eliminated candidates. Possible?

Impressive boost for Stewart (+18).

I just put £20 on Double Oh Stewart to get the top job. At 11:1.

I am pretty sure it'll be him v Boris.

Where was this?

If Raab had any self respect, he would reflect upon his inability to court the ERG,
and,
his rejection by the rest of the Tory parliamentary party.
A couple of quiet weeks, followed by resignation, and quit politics.
He just isn't very good at it.
Perhaps he could apply for a job as a Customs Clearance agent at Dover?

Betfair exchange

So where have Stewart votes come from given that everybody that’s gone out so far have been hard right nut jobs ?

Pink Tories deserting dePfeffel?

Journos were tweeting this AM that Boris had told some of his supporters to vote for opponents he knows he can beat to try to knock out ones he's worried about. Nice.

There's a theory that some of Johnson's votes went to Javid in order to ensure that he got through to avoid a large number of Javid's votes going to Stewart if he was eliminated.

So who knows. (Although Gavin Williamson is meant to be orchestrating this so it may well be leaked soon.)

The chances he'd beat Boris in a head to head are so slim that 11-1 is poor odds really.

It's not TV voters, or the liberal middle class users of Twitter or bike forums who are not used to seeing a Tory who isn't instantly punchable (you have to look at his voting record and the colour of his rosette to remember he's a cunt.)

It's this not particularly representative sample (probably male, rural, c65, doesn't care about Brexit, thinks the country has gone soft, etc.):

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Flagrant manspread by RA -

This "debate" is a shambles. A bunch of posh middle aged men talking over Emily Maitlis, each other, and the people trying to ask them questions.