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As I said, I'm looking further back than the last few elections so that wouldn't show in the Ashcroft polls.
aggi-
OK, but I think the climate has changed a lot since nearly 3 years ago, but political parties seem to still make decisions based on 3 years ago.
If it is all about personality, then yep, I agree Johnson could get Farage voters, it'll buy time for the Conservatives.
And more chaos for everyone, yippee...
JWestland
Not per recent Ashcroft's / yougov exit polls, very few have swung to Brexit party.
Per Gina miller research all but two of those areas have swung to remain.