• FWIW I don't think it'd be that close, if it came to it - the vote today won't be how they vote when the chips are down.

  • If Boris (running on the tacit remit of leaving with no deal) is voted in as PM, Conservative MPs will factor-in this instruction from the membership going forward.

    It’s a judgment call, but I’d say conservative MPs are more sensitive to the immediate threat (to their careers and party) than the chaos (largely for others) caused by no deal. I’d love to be wrong.

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