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If the Tories, and the other Brexit parties get enough of a battering in the local and EU elections then they may decide to replace May with someone who is not married to Brexit. Problem is how- they can’t use 1922 as the members will put Boris in, and they can’t allow an election as they might lose. They need, somehow, to reduce their possible PM contenders to someone who can be re-elected, or failing that allow them back in directly after Corbyn spends four years soaking up the blame for pushing Brexit through. To do that they need to shed the nutters and try to project an air of competence- although that may well be impossible.
Surely the only direct route to a 2nd vote is with May still in charge. A new Tory lead is bound to be pro hard Brexit. A new Tory leader will in all likely hood feel duty bound to hold a general election so they can get the majority to push through there brexit and then all bets are off, hopefully the brexit party splits the Tory vote and we end up with a Labour, SNP and Lib dem coalition with a second vote at the heart of the deal.