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• #2652
^ ha
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• #2653
No deal with the Tories will have any meaningful impact on the DUP base.
There's no way in hell SF are going to take their seats. Remains to be seen how the SDLP would view a Corbyn administration. There's still the potential of 2 Alliance seats- Belfast East and (less likely) Belfast South. They could be lumped in with the LibDems.
Of course no-one should rule out Farron going in with the Conservatives again.
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• #2654
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-northern-ireland-40161885
Around 0100 they can guess, 0700 it's final.
Our STV PR system is great, but counting the votes and calculating the result is a lot more work. -
• #2655
Blimey - on Betfair Johnson is down to 8 to be the next PM. I think he was about 80 half an hour ago (Corbyn's on about 5)
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• #2656
What with the animosity towards Farron that I keep seeing?
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• #2657
As much as I don't want to be a voice of reason or sobriety:
How can the exit polls be so different from the poll averages we've had?
I've been paying more attention to the Scottish ones which had SNP on 44-7 seats quite confidently. Maybe the weather, maybe the fact that the election up here was transformed into an indyref by the Unionists, but that's still a huge margin of error?
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• #2658
Wrong person! Thought you meant Fallon!
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• #2659
Weighted too far away from Labour voters actually showing up to try to correct mistakes of 2015.
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• #2660
Of small stature politically.
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• #2661
The man can't even say a but of bum fun is 'not a sin'. He doesn't need to endorse it, he just needs to say it doesn't warrant hellfire and eternal condemnation. But no... Like Clegg he'd rather hold to some strange principle and see his own party buggered harder than a workaholic rentboy.
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• #2662
His surname is also too close to Fallon.
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• #2663
Fallon or Farron?
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• #2664
The sad thing is it's more likely that the votes went to the Tories though, Kezia Dugdale is the political equivalent of toxic waste
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• #2665
Too slow! Edited already!
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• #2666
Holy fuck.
My last month wasn't wasted.
Forgot to say earlier, well done, David.
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• #2667
Bet you just didn't refresh in time. :)
Also: Corbo!
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• #2668
+1 admirable work.
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• #2669
Haha
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• #2671
2) Don't underestimate ability of Tories to unite in pursuit of power. Remember what happened straight after referendum, pretty extraordinary.
3) Don't underestimate ability of Labour to fracture... -
• #2672
No government is better than bad government :)
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• #2673
The polls in the past few weeks have downgraded Labour voting intentions with the expectation that fewer numbers would turn up to vote than tories.
I'd guess that the exit polls have suggested that Labour voters turned up in higher numbers than expected. To be honest I think they may have over-estimated (only a feeling) and it will be a very small tory majority.
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• #2674
Indeed. Good work boss regardless of the final tally
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• #2675
Yep - Good job David. Not sure where this exit poll is going but I'm relatively comfortable I'm not going to wake up to a 100 Tory majority tomorrow. I'm convinced your work made a difference.
I feel like I've taken mushrooms. Somewhere I know I'm still in the same drab room I was in before, but it's just become a bit more hopeful and entertaining.