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  • Worth taking Northern Ireland seats into consideration in a hung parliament. 18 seats with 8 DUP, 2 UUP, 1 independent unionist who could be expected to back the Tories. 3 SDLP who could back a Labour minority government. 4 Sinn Fein who follow an abstentionist policy so they'll go nowhere. I expect a load of nonsense talked tonight about that. There are a few potential changes to that total which could have an effect either way.

    This may end up being something to take into consideration or it might not. It'll be a long night.

  • If the DUP sells out NI like that I hope it will finish them. Forever.

    Now would be a good time to consider for SF to take their seat if SDLP/SF are called by Labour...

  • No deal with the Tories will have any meaningful impact on the DUP base.

    There's no way in hell SF are going to take their seats. Remains to be seen how the SDLP would view a Corbyn administration. There's still the potential of 2 Alliance seats- Belfast East and (less likely) Belfast South. They could be lumped in with the LibDems.

    Of course no-one should rule out Farron going in with the Conservatives again.

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