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We'll see. I think Thomas can handle himself in the mountains, plus he'll have Landa to play off. I don't think he'll win it but I reckon he can finish in the top 5.
It's a shame you can't do both the classics and the GTs these days. But, as @skinny points out, Luke Rowe is a more than able deputy. He looked strong last year and is another year older and wiser, so I'd expect him and Stannard to have a good spring.
You don't end up in the top ten of the Tour GC in the final week without being able to climb. I can see why he's done it, but I think he's better suited for the classics.