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I did exactly what I mentioned above yesterday.
I rode a 20 climb as a test, and then the overside at threshold based on the result. Made for a perfect intense 2x20. If my training didnt involve 20 min climbs I guess I'd test less. But it feels easier riding by power with a recent figure in mind.
My FTP was exactly what I guessed it was to be honest.
Smallfurry
Tested my FTP today, the real way. It's what I thought it was based on intuition, to the exact Watt.
So my N=1 study is conclusive. You don't need to test.
/end.