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Hi .. will take the wheelset if it's still available and the other 105 chainset plus BB if possible please ?
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I'm close to abandoning trying to salvage a 1995 Hahanna with seized seatpost buried deep into frame and in a corner as cash strapped and without a ride so figuring best solution is to sell the P2's and either sell some of the rest to pick up similar and/ or transfer the components to another F+F so wanted to check if anyone is interested in the P2's first.
1" threaded steerer, v-brake bosses for 26" rim, fork crown race is damaged so need new one with whatever headset is used.
Measurements I'll have to take later as bike is currently in the retailer whom I bought it from (they didn't want to do any work on it) but seem likely to be standard as per recent thread with a low stack height and steerer length from 18" frame headtube using stock headset.
Please let me know if serious interest as I'm in a bit of hole/ difficult situation so need to affirm first before making any further decision.
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This is interesting from yougov polls
I combined with cohort population data (from statista) to get the expectation of actual votes per party which lumped together comes out at Conservative/Brexit/UKIP (48.6%) Labour/Lib Dem and the rest (51.4%)
The take-away is that the cohorts 18-49y, particularly below 39y hold a huge potential for swing vote if their voting intention is correct as they are heavily under-represented relative to the older cohorts
Increasing their turnout to the same level as the older cohorts swings that split to 46.4% vs 53.6% so Labour et al would do well to focus very hard on mobilising those age groups to actually vote if they don't won't to be disenfranchised
NB The survey itself indicates a likely significant under-intention to vote as a whole as the turnout intention overall is 59.8% compared to 68.8% for last GE and 72% for the referendum and previous surveys suggest a higher likelihood of turnout (see https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/09/young-people-referendum-turnout-brexit-twice-as-high) which would suggest that split is more likely to widen to the survey result
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As per everyone else, see specialist. Sudden cardiac deaths in athletes can be due to magnesium deficiency. A close friend who was exceptionally fit, working as a messenger and started having scares with his heart was referred to a specialist who had experience with this, a few days into magnesium supplementation, he was good, no further problems. Don't assume its that, get proper diagnosis, but it may be worth supplementing in high dosage in meantime.
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Purely on Brexit, which is an appalling reason for a G.E., but the unfortunate likelihood of dominating electioneering in the event it happened, it's not clear that it would be smart for Conservatives to go full on for Brexit based on this report from Guardian last year on the breakdown of seats by updated Leave/ Remain polls which have presumably moved further toward Remain
Who knows. This is just depressing.
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I am so sick of the self-serving agendas of the politicians and the shadowy stuff behind everything. The dysfunction in the country is grotesque, and any which way round, there is a total failure to put meaningful thought or action into beginning to address real problems that affect a far greater part of the population. This kind of thing is entirely unacceptable in what is touted as leading world nation:
Annual poverty figures published today have shown that the number of poor children living in working families has risen from 67% to 70%. According to an Child Poverty Action Group analysis, the figures also show that there are 200,000 more children living in absolute poverty and 4.1m children in poverty after housing costs are taken into account, meaning 30% of UK children are below the poverty line.
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So, here's a quick of back envelope calc'n if we can get a second ref based on the effect of the fact that over the last 3y, the cohort effect will capture an increased number of youth voters:
4y cohorts in the age group = 3.7million which approx. to 2.775million NEW voters (previously below 18y old, calc'd as 3y (2016 to 2019) of the 4y cohort i.e. 0.75 * 3.7)
Original turnout for 18-24y was 64% which is probably conservative in the event of a second ref, but using that gives a NEW VOTER TURNOUT of an additional 1.776million
Using poll averages reported from BBC for voter preference in that age group of 82% REMAIN leaves a NET ADDITIONAL VOTE OF 1.14million votes to REMAIN from this demographic effect alone.
This is before any change of sentiment with existing voters, and is a conservative estimate as a second ref is likely to mobilise a far higher turnout. (It also excludes the loss of any elderly voters which were biased toward Leave, but this relatively insignificant compared to the capture of new voters).
So, just treading water, it's pretty hard to argue that the previous referendum would be aligned with the wish of what is now the legitimate electorate. Should there be a long extension of 2y, this effect would become even further pronounced all else being equal.
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Interesting.
Although the anecdotes I see re the behaviour of Leavers seems incongruent with this conclusion!:
"This distribution also sheds some light on why Leavers are more likely to be tolerant of people’s differing political beliefs than Remainers are"
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Am I missing something - has she a way to bring the deal back now for a third vote ?
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Thanks. That makes sense.
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People are failing to consider the impact on everyone else, which is an angry reaction to the fact that many of them feel that they have been mistreated or failed. There have been various reports recently on the global effect of Brexit on employment in far flung, dirt poor countries. Closer to home, a lady at Dublin City University just released a report of the effect of no-deal on employment in Ireland:
"impact of WTO tariffs on primary and manufacturing (goods producing) employment across Irish counties. Highest impact is in Monaghan -9.2%, driven by the fact that 21% of employment there is in Agri-Food"
These are real people elsewhere who will be losing jobs, in addition to all the UK job losses and the potential unleashing of a negative economic spiral.
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EU leaders agree to delay Brexit until May 22, if Theresa May's third attempt to pass her Withdrawal Agreement through parliament is successful, according to a draft statement.
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Yes. Mainly we are concerned about our personal situations, usually on a fairly short term horizon, and predominantly we view everything from an economic perspective. So, what happens to other people, particularly those who fall way outside of our personal venn diagram doesn't register, and we trust that somehow things will be taken care of, and if we have any empowerment, we get behind what's best for us. Unfortunately, this has resulted in the marginalisation of so many people. I don't think it would be fair to say that people don't care, but everyone feels disempowered and is under varying degrees of pressure in their own lives to just exist, that things perpetuate and get forced to greater extremes.
The arguments for Brexit have been very much centred around it being great for business, a huge opportunity to attract investment etc which have now been refuted by fact. The concern is that the consequence of proceeding when what was assumed or hoped to be the case, is not, and it becomes a very fragile situation which does affect those who have hoped that Brexit will change their situation for the better. I don't know where you would rank things in hierarchy, that would be subjective, but what other concerns are there - immigration, passports, EU laws etc - for many people, it will be the economic impact and opportunity, or lack thereof, that is, or becomes, the biggest concern I would suggest.
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Then why not trust May?
This is too easy.
If TM can get something through parliament that avoids the carnage then that is a better situation than crashing, but the root problems still remain and no-one has any plan to address them. So, the pissed off guys would get blue passports and still be pissed off.
It is actually tragic that we hatchet our leadership rather than support them, but that is a function of the non-inclusive policies run for decades and the dysfunction in the system.
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Your argument just needs skewering because it’s based on such a subjective view. I’m a remainer but feel some duty to let bubble-dwellers like you know how these opinions will be received outside of London and/or wealthy towns/cities.
I'm not sure what's subjective about the swathe of announcements of disinvestment, capital flight and planned relocations for the last couple of months. That's pretty hard fact and the consequences of trying to function as a nation with a flailing democracy, lack of govt and lack of direction are pretty serious given the state of the nation.
My concern is for those in marginalised areas and I spent 7y working exceptionally hard to develop one demonstrable way for redressing some of these problems if adopted on a larger scale. Unfortunately, I confronted the power of the vested interest in trying to perpetuate this mess that has caused the current problems and had my life destroyed as a result.
Leave or Remain is not the problem. That is just the current situation.
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It is. But we rely upon the elected representatives to familiarise themselves with the detail of the problems and there should be an effective communication back to their electorate so that they can make better informed decisions based upon a credible processing and evaluation of the issues at hand.
The average geyser is not going to be able to get his head round all of the issues and complexities of many things, and why should he ? Instead, in a properly functioning democracy, the representative should be able to provide an honest and accurate evaluation which the electorate can trust and vote accordingly. One problem we have is the emotive response on which votes are based as result of either falsehoods, misrepresentations, narrowing of subject matter, or biases in presentation from whoever controls different forms of media. We should be able to trust a representative to process an entirety and condense that to an honest, communicable appraisal that they can communicate to their electorate and to be able to trust that their decision in amending law and probing government is consistent with the best interest of their electorate in accordance with their >informed< wishes.
I think there is a critical issue of trust.
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If there is any take-away from this entire shit show it’s that referendums are bullshit and direct democracy doesn’t work.
Referendum's are dangerous. The advisory nature should be clearly communicated. And it would have been sensible to have thresholds for margin/ turnout to prevent such bitter division on a close call.
The problem with democracy seems to be in its implementation. Unfortunately, every system fails when it suffers from the corruption of the people and institutions on which it relies, however well conceived. I wouldn't give up on democracy, but there is an overhaul required for it to begin functioning properly and perhaps the current shitshow will eventually lead to that.
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So what you’re saying is that some politicians lied? Best cancel ... everything.
Patronising af.
I think honesty from politicians is something that should be demanded by an electorate as we end up with these situations as result. I'm not sure how you find anything I am saying as patronising as I don't intend to cause offence. I am sensitive to the fact that a slim majority voted to Leave and that parliament invoked A50. However, ultimately we rely upon the political leaders to make decisions in the best interest of the whole nation.
The concern I have is that what was propogated as fact, anticipated as likely, or assumed to be a given has all turned out to be something else, and left a situation in which the govt is trapped between a disgruntled part of the electorate who demand change, but without a full understanding of what that means, and a potentially calamitous situation that would be irresponsible to enter.
Leave has never had a solid plan for addressing the core problems faced by the nation, and even demonstrates a possible lack of awareness of them, and all 'ideas' bandied around have been ill-conceived sound-bytes in response to emerging events (we could be like singapore, norway, australia or a military power etc) rather than any thoroughly thought through, structured and clearly communicated credible plans.
The absence of any plan whatsoever, irrespective of outcome, is a fundamental problem, and until one exists, then worsening a situation and vastly increasing uncertainty is grossly irresponsible and it would be in everyone's interests to first look at the root problems and plan on how to address those and restructure.
(And yes, the clock has run down).
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Mormonism alive and well.
Def not me!
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I just checked the parliament site for petitions to check how significant the current one to revoke A50 is in terms of number of signatories.
Already it is the third largest historically (from the e-petition stats), and at the rate it's growing should surpass the second (which was a petition to veto Trump's visit).
The most signed petition was ahead of the referendum, attracted 4,150,262 signatures and stated:
"We the undersigned call upon HM Government to implement a rule that if the remain or leave vote is less than 60% based a turnout less than 75% there should be another referendum."
The government overrode it. Hence current shitshow prevails and doesn't bode well for the petition to be heeded.
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:) sorry! I have experienced some pretty deep stuff in recent years that does lead me to believe that our life is some kind of battle for souls and that God is very real. I don't shove this in people's faces, but our release from the misery, suffering we end up in life is in realisation of that.
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She thinks she is. She thinks she's trying to solve the 'mad riddle' by inflicting as little damage as possible whilst honouring the ref. and the result of the GE.
I'm never sure what to think about her whether she is genuine and bungling, or untrustworthy. However, I don't think any of us would want to be in her position and taking her at face value, then she is very persistent and has endured something that would have broken most people into jibbering wrecks.
Yeahbut the buck doesn't stop with them - their historical legacy is settled, their story is done.
That's true, but I think we, as a society, massively undervalue the wisdom and experience of the aged - which in traditional cultures was, and is, highly valued - and glorify the energy and ambition of youth which has the propensity to repeat mistakes.
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