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yeah, i reckon there are quite a few around here who can't make a weekly date, which is why they haven't worked out too well. a few banker big rides would be good to aim for. if something regular is going to work, i think it may have to be actually regular. every week. ride if the weather is nice, pub if it's not.
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yeah, i don't think it's a huge problem. in nearly a year nobody has come into the shop trying to sell anything suspicious. although i do hear quite frequently from bike-theft victims. almost all of them were using cable locks. toronto is awful for it, so i reckon it's down to the volume of bikes on the streets, the quality of locks people are using, the market for "used' (ie stolen) bikes and the amount of drug addicts looking for a quick theft and sale.
although i don't think it's that bad in birmingham, i still can't bring myself to spend much money on my fixed bike because i'd just worry about locking it up, which i do quite often.