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  • Bitcoin: A first Assessment

    Just read that. Good grief. It isn't much more elevated than the analysis in this thread. Particularly amusing lines:

    this is a very rough calculation and we have made a lot of big assumptions

    Those assumptions include:

    • 10% of US online B2C transactions taking place in BTC, giving BTC dollar value of $1bn.
    • US GDP accounting for 20% of world GDP, with penetration of e-commerce globally reaching US levels (!?), scaling BTC dollar value to $5bn.

    And voila! Save that they manage to cook up another $10bn value from the similar flights of fantasy.

    Summary - BAML are having a laugh, BTC overvalued by a factor of 10 plus.

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