Earthloop, if your assumptions didn't factor in your X years of cycle experience, benefits of high viz clothing & lighting, & defensive riding style (as seen on the London Spiral) then I am sure your odds are far longer.
@Joskin started
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Earthloop, if your assumptions didn't factor in your X years of cycle experience, benefits of high viz clothing & lighting, & defensive riding style (as seen on the London Spiral) then I am sure your odds are far longer.