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@Well_is_it
Nokia and its associated OSes are on a downward spiral if you don't include wp8.
Blackberry 10 remains to be seen. Web OS, although now open source, doesn't stand the best of chances.
Firefox OS is the wildcard because its truly open and actually has OEMs backing it at launch - I also have a lot more faith in Mozilla's release dates than the majority of companies. Its debut is in Brazil which is a bit of an unusual market for smart phones: android does exceptionally well there with some handset makers but HTC are actually bailing on the country because they just arent popular there. Its analogous to blackberries popularity here compared with the US.
Also, its application development is all HTML5, so don't expect gta to be released on these things...
What I said about android was partly true though, it has become commoditized because of how easily it can be cut down for cheap feature phones and that's what's making it explode in places like south America etc. That's also why its become so fragmented.