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@gman583
I think the evidence is massively against Lance and he should get some punishment. But his cycling career is over and all of the money he has made through sponsorship and charity etc is down to his acheivements over the years. So couldn't his sponsors etc sue him for ripping them off and tainting their names which could also lead to a big prison sentence.
There are so many people who could sue him but my guess is that he will get a slap on the wrist a small fine and don't do it again.
If the UCI took the stance of lifetime bans for everyone who gets caught then sooner or later i think it will stop or the cheats will get smarter. what ever happens if riders just get an 18 month ban a la Contador who is only really going to miss half his normal season then there are no big penalties. Also after the Contador scandal there are still teams crying out to sign him for next season.