European Qualifier Discussion - 2013 and onwards

I reckon there's a 95% chance those 'top 4' will qualify, even with subs, injuries etc. The lower 4 (or so) all probably have a 50/50 chance of getting the bottom few spots. I'm arguing that it's more important for those bottom teams to have as fair a crack as possible, than it is for the top teams to needlessly validate their position in the top ten.

At the risk of repeating myself, there will be a lot of teams at the Euros who are as good as, and better than, the Big 4. Therefore, the rest have to show that they can at least give the Big 4 a game, otherwise they have no business going to the Euros.