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@reulbg
But its not a horse race, and not gambling. Its about who decides what happens in the country we live in for 5 years at a time, and where I can probably stand to lose a tenner on a horse, I'd rather have someone I can tolerate as my MP than someone I know who doesn't represent my point of view.
With races, think of heats and finals, the outcomes of the initial heats give who runs in the final, and then its where they come in the final that matters not the heats, or something.