Yes but if heads came up 100 times in a row the chance of me noticing and shouting this from the rooftops 100% . .
: )
Yep, that's basically the problem with people misunderstanding lottery probabilities.
47, 17, 8, 12, 2, 36 looks insignificant.
Whereas . . .
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 looks significant.
And this significance is ascribed a value it doesn't have (it being more or less likely that other sequences we ascribe no significance to).
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: )
Yep, that's basically the problem with people misunderstanding lottery probabilities.
47, 17, 8, 12, 2, 36 looks insignificant.
Whereas . . .
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 looks significant.
And this significance is ascribed a value it doesn't have (it being more or less likely that other sequences we ascribe no significance to).