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@Sharkstar
It comes down to trusted sources. The stats I quoted were from a railway expert and based on a DETR (now DfT) study. The original piece is here. We're talking about the UK so I guess we should limit ourselves to UK figures.
The UK government's latest fatality and accident statistics are here, though expressed per bn km rather than per hour:
http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/statistics/datatablespublications/modal/