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  • I wouldn't worry about upsetting people. I value discussion as a promoter of friendship!

    I'll admit that climate and disease spread is a very complex topic but:
    The SDN release seems flawed to me for a couple of reasons:

    Its comes from an organisation with an agenda. Be that agenda positive or negative I find releases by these groups problematic as their use of science tends to be biased.

    It makes unreferenced statements and takes single events as proof of concept.

    it only presents one side of the debate unlike the nature paper you quoted which i much prefer (although they don't have any references frustratingly).

    I'd disagree with your use of that article as indicating no increased spread of malaria. Whilst I am already convinced of a spread by my own unfortunately unpublished dabblings in epidemiology research, I prefer the hypotheses of the pro-spread sections of that article. I would still like to read the orginal references however.

    The spread of other vector/disease combos (culex mosquito/west nile in the states, ticks/lymes disease, mosquitos and european dengue, tsetse fly expansion and sleeping sickness in africa) is much convincing evidence than the "insects are already such good adaptors why haven't the spread already" counter.

    I will accept ecosystem collapse as a pretty good counter arguement but that's not going to be modelable any time soon.

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