LFGSS and Microcosm shutting down 16th March 2025 (the day before the Online Safety Act is enforced)
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someone at ofcom having a bad day or ofcom needing a sacrificial lamb to hold up and say this is what happens if you don't comply.
I think Ofcom will end up in court if they did that, Ofcom needs to follow the Human rights act and ECHR. How Ofcom been acting so far its clear they are not ready for any legal challenge on free speech grounds (Tho I know the UK has weak free speech laws)
Personally I'd say the risk is nearly zero but not zero and it's that tiny gap which is going to be the issue for some (not all).
The vast majority are just going to be able to carry on fine, a few may come to Ofcom's attention and never get followed up, an even smaller number may have to jump through some hoops or end up closing their site.
But there's probably going to be a small number of examples being made. Someone not doing something quite as expected, someone at ofcom having a bad day or ofcom needing a sacrificial lamb to hold up and say this is what happens if you don't comply.
We've seen it recently with train fare penalties. Prosecutions for people who missed the small print and saved a couple of pound on their fares. Hugely disproportionate but once you're in the system you're screwed.