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  • The thing is that Reform's pitch to voters is 'immigration is too high'.

    But I feel like I know these voters, and I don't think any of them really think legal immigration is too high anymore. They got their Brexit, they've been 'listened' to, and they've moved onto other things. They think that illegal immigrants are going to rape their kids, that vaccines cause autism, that 15 minute cities are a prison, that GB News is a legitimate source of information, and that Tommy Robinson/Nigel Farage are reasonable blokes, but they don't seem to give much of a shit about immigration anymore.

    And Blair said it a few years ago - if you're going to enter a culture war, you need to make sure your culture war is a big topic, otherwise you'll lose. I'm not sure any of this remaining grouping of weird shit is likely to attract anyone beyond Reform's core vote. It's likely- imo - to lose them votes.

  • The use of the terms legal and illegal for immigration is really disingenuous. Someone claiming asylum after they cross the channel in a small boat has done nothing illegal at that point. They have just claimed asylum as is their right under international law.

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