US Politics

This could be right, but people said Trump could never win the candidacy in 2015, never win the election in 2016, and the same again this time round.

The difference, of course, is that Trump was not prevented from competing by the Republican establishment, even though they loathed him as much as anyone!

Exactly, which comes back to the wider point that the Democrats would be better served by encouraging wide and competitive primaries, rather than trying to stage-manage party democracy.

... and by offering a policy platform based on adressing the needs and concerns of their voters, not what they and their donors think those needs and concerns should be!

Potential Trump Attorney General Mike Davis threatens New York Attorney General Letitia James:

"I dare you to try to continue your lawfare against … Trump... listen here, sweetheart, we're not messing around this time and we will put your fat arse in prison for conspiracy against rights."

And so it starts…

Noone is my guy. I just think you analysis sucks.

So ner

A very different coalition of voters would have had to vote for Kennedy, a coalition that has already rejected trumps batshit stuff.

I find it very hard to believe that rkj could have become president as the democratic candidate.

we will put your fat arse in prison

Fake news, no American says arse.

The key question now is who Trump puts in his cabinet. He either puts establishment / neocon types like Pompeo, Rubio and Hailey - like he did last time - or his more unconventional / MAGA isolationist supporters, like Musk, Kennedy, Tulsi, etc. And what kind of VP role does Vance get?

There will be lots of deep state pressure for him to have the neo-cons and to gear up for a big conflict with China. I hope he resists and has the other lot, but I fully expect to be disappointed. Best hope is that he has an early call with his mate Orban who persuades him to work with China!

EDIT - for avoidance of doubt I'm not saying I like or respect the other lot, they are all cunts -as is Trump - but some, ie the neocons are just worse than others.

His analysis pre-election was sufficiently sound to make money off the outcome.

You’re right, he said ass…

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I made a few £ on Kennedy, actually!
I backed him when he launched at about 40-1 but I knew he would never get a chance to have a proper run so sold out w when he got to about 20-1

I’ve got such a good track record with predictions but I’d go with coarse thugs like Musk and the fanbois will feel that they are experiencing The Rapture

Are we allowed to talk about anything else but the fucking price of eggs yet?

https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/16/24266512/jd-vance-curtis-yarvin-influence-rage-project-2025

These guys have a very strange set of political beliefs. You need to have a peculiar and narrow definition of freedom to reach this conclusion:

the neoreactionary movement, whose adherents believe — as Thiel wrote in 2009 — that freedom and democracy are incompatible and that democratic governments and bloated federal bureaucracies should be replaced by enlightened autocratic regimes

Presumably Thiel thinks he, or another of his ilk, would be the enlightened supreme leader…

This confused me. And made me want to buy a rubix cube (my daughter has one but won't let anyone change its current state).

Buy this one.

It is cheap as chips and very good. (I know what I'm talking about)

https://ukspeedcubes.co.uk/collections/3x3-cubes/products/moyu-meilong-3m-v2-lite

More I think that Musk, Thiel et al see themselves as king makers. Executive power is mucky work

Awesome, thanks.

Lite, Matt or UV finish? Pre-lube & if so which of the 14 options is best? Is using bike lube an option?

Matt with DNM37

Ta.

I do wonder if they’re not so much in favour of autocracy per se, but more that they know there’s no way of installing their preferred libertarian system through any sort of democratic process.

I guess that’s why it’s a nebulous strongman they allude to, but don’t go on to describe in detail the specific bureaucracy or system necessary for their model society. In any case, that would go against their libertarianism, so they’re just stuck being elite reactionaries in a political and theoretical dead end.

Good article, I tend to agree that the Democrats didn't do too much wrong with their policy or campaign but massively misread the media prism through which a significant element of the population views them. The whole post truth / alternate reality thing.

https://www.offmessage.net/p/democrats-please-try-to-fix-this-problem

and again.

https://newrepublic.com/post/188197/trump-media-information-landscape-fox

The Democrats did do something wrong: Gaza.It cost them 12 million votes compared with 2020. These votes did not go to Trump. Trump's vote tally is almost identical to 2020. Lifelong Democrat voters protested Biden's failure to protect Gaza's civilians by simply not voting at all.