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This could be right, but people said Trump could never win the candidacy in 2015, never win the election in 2016, and the same again this time round.
The difference, of course, is that Trump was not prevented from competing by the Republican establishment, even though they loathed him as much as anyone!
I think he would have limped through greatly damaged. I see Kennedy as a fringe candidate who can do damage but not win a primary or an election. If you have evidence otherwise let me know.